Lidar corridor screen · I-495, Hopkinton–Bellingham

Fifty-four parcels left.
Fourteen pass the first screen.

Projects 01–03 each studied one site in depth. This one asks the question that comes first: which sites are even worth studying? I took a 20 km stretch of the I-495 belt, Hopkinton down through Bellingham, pulled every tax parcel within 1.5 km of the highway across nine towns, and ran the same terrain screens on everything vacant and 10+ acres. The shortlist turns out to be short.

If you're looking at wooded land in Massachusetts, this is the kind of homework you can do before an offer — happy to walk through any of it. mhowe.gis@gmail.com

Public-data demonstration. “Pass” means pass the stated terrain and mapped-buffer screen—not approved, permitted, or confirmed buildable.

14 of 54 vacant 10+ acre parcels fit one of the two conceptual pads under the stated terrain and mapped-buffer settings. The other forty did not pass this first screen.
49,986
tax parcels examined across nine towns
20 km
of I-495, Hopkinton through Bellingham
54
vacant or forest parcels of 10+ acres
$1.94/SF
lowest modeled earthwork per pad SF, 87 ac in Franklin
The map

Everything that's left

Green parcels passed the stated screen — a contiguous conceptual pad (16.3 or 7.4 acres) fits with at least 70% of it outside mapped wetland/stream buffers and steep ground. Brown parcels did not fit one under those assumptions. The extension south changed the picture: the rolling Hopkinton end is where dirt costs the most, and the flatter Bellingham–Franklin end is where the lower modeled earthwork results appear — the top five are all south of Milford.

Corridor map of remaining vacant parcels
Every remaining 10+ acre vacant parcel within 1.5 km of I-495, Hopkinton–Bellingham stretch. Labels mark the five cheapest pads; dots are the other nine viable parcels.
Start here

The lidar that ranked them

The table is the result. This is the ground. The same 2021 MassGIS bare-earth hillshade used for the pad search, for all fifty-four parcels — the fourteen that passed in green, and the forty that did not in brown. Drag the line to compare current aerial imagery with the lidar surface. Click a parcel, a ranking card, or a brown site in the list to stand on that terrain.

2021 lidar hillshade of the I-495 corridor with all 54 screened parcels
AERIAL IMAGERY
2021 LIDAR HILLSHADE

All 54 screened parcels on 2021 lidar hillshade. Green passed; brown did not.

MassGIS 2021 half-meter bare-earth lidar shaded relief — the public surface used for this screen — with MassGIS Level 3 parcel outlines. Aerial imagery is Esri World Imagery, for orientation only. “No fit” is still only a finding about these two pad sizes and the stated wetland/slope screens.

Four parcels that did not pass

The brown rows are easier to believe once you see the ground. Some are almost entirely steep or inside mapped buffers. Some sit against I-495. One Franklin parcel is only 14% constrained on paper and still could not fit a contiguous 7.4-acre pad — the lidar shows why a table cell cannot.

2021 lidar hillshade of 80 Deer Street in Milford

80 Deer St, Milford

13.3 acres, 99% mapped constraints. Almost none of the parcel is outside steep ground and wetland/stream buffers.

2021 lidar hillshade of an I-495 remnant parcel in Milford

I-495 remnant, Milford

18.5 acres, 100% constrained. Vacant on the roll; the lidar is highway, slope, and leftover scraps.

2021 lidar hillshade of 36 R Alder Street in Medway

36 R Alder St, Medway

100% constrained in the screen. Hummocky ground and a highway embankment eat the pad window.

2021 lidar hillshade of the Uncas Pond parcel in Franklin

Uncas Pond, Franklin

Only 14% mapped constraints — and still no contiguous 7.4-acre pad. Shape and local relief matter as much as the percentage.

The ranking

The strongest five, then the full screen

Each parcel got the same treatment: find the best possible pad position inside it (two pad sizes tried), grade it to balance, and apply the same illustrative $20/yd³ comparison basis. "Constrained" is the share of the parcel inside wetland buffers, stream setbacks, or slopes over 15%. Pad sizes are shown rounded; the $/SF column divides by each pad's exact area. The first five are easiest to compare below; click a card or any row in the full table to open that parcel on the lidar. The complete 54-parcel audit remains available for transparency.

2021 lidar hillshade of West Central Street, Franklin
01

West Central St

Franklin · 87.1 acres

$1.94 / pad SF7.4-acre pad · 31,047 yd³ modeled
2021 lidar hillshade of 23 R Tulip Way, Medway
02

23 R Tulip Way

Medway · 24.7 acres

$2.24 / pad SF7.4-acre pad · 35,803 yd³ modeled
2021 lidar hillshade of High Street, Bellingham
03

High St

Bellingham · 33.7 acres

$3.16 / pad SF7.4-acre pad · 50,468 yd³ modeled
2021 lidar hillshade of Hartford Avenue, Bellingham
04

Hartford Ave

Bellingham · 20.8 acres

$3.58 / pad SF7.4-acre pad · 57,217 yd³ modeled
2021 lidar hillshade of 4 Technology Drive, Milford
05

4 Technology Dr

Milford · 18.5 acres

$3.86 / pad SF7.4-acre pad · 61,756 yd³ modeled
View all 54 screened parcels
Full public-data screen. “No fit” only describes these pad sizes and stated assumptions.
#ParcelTownAcresMapped constraintsBest conceptual padModeled earthwork / pad SF
10 West Central StFranklin87.159%7.4 ac pad · 31,047 yd³ ≈ $0.62M$1.94
223 R Tulip WayMedway24.746%7.4 ac pad · 35,803 yd³ ≈ $0.72M$2.24
30 High StBellingham33.761%7.4 ac pad · 50,468 yd³ ≈ $1.01M$3.16
40 Hartford AvBellingham20.853%7.4 ac pad · 57,217 yd³ ≈ $1.14M$3.58
54 Technology DrMilford18.526%7.4 ac pad · 61,756 yd³ ≈ $1.24M$3.86
60 High StBellingham47.829%16.3 ac pad · 144,167 yd³ ≈ $2.88M$4.06
70 Hixon StBellingham32.139%7.4 ac pad · 67,733 yd³ ≈ $1.35M$4.24
8Maple StMilford12.522%7.4 ac pad · 81,825 yd³ ≈ $1.64M$5.12
9East Main StMilford119.276%7.4 ac pad · 93,991 yd³ ≈ $1.88M$5.88
100 Pine Island RoadHopkinton110.245%16.3 ac pad · 233,019 yd³ ≈ $4.66M$6.56
110 Farm StBellingham16.38%7.4 ac pad · 110,234 yd³ ≈ $2.20M$6.90
120 Lumber StreetHopkinton16.532%7.4 ac pad · 129,444 yd³ ≈ $2.59M$8.10
13306 Maple StBellingham11.524%7.4 ac pad · 141,798 yd³ ≈ $2.84M$8.87
140 Fisher StHolliston17.347%7.4 ac pad · 175,079 yd³ ≈ $3.50M$10.95
·Off Lumber StreetHopkinton11.750%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Lumber StreetHopkinton20.476%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·253 Lumber StreetHopkinton14.371%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Granite StreetHopkinton29.371%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 South StHolliston10.438%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Rear Purchase StMilford12.686%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Silver Hill RdMilford34.685%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Rear Haven StMilford15.344%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·400 Deer StMilford25.057%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·10 Country WayHopkinton10.452%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·80 Deer StMilford13.399%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Rear Cedar StMilford11.584%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Rear Cedar StMilford10.424%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·I 495Milford18.5100%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Maple StMilford24.074%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Off Medway RdMilford12.3100%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Hartford AvBellingham24.164%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Downey StreetHopkinton11.927%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Hartford AvBellingham44.572%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·187 Farm StBellingham11.995%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 North Main StBellingham31.690%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Maple StBellingham106.169%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Maple StBellingham10.235%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Oak StBellingham12.146%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·36 R Alder StMedway35.6100%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Oak GroveMedway13.044%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·26 Alder StMedway11.382%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 R Stone End RdMedway25.384%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Mine BrookFranklin15.051%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Mine BrookFranklin23.064%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Old Town RoadHopkinton13.261%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·300 Fisher StFranklin18.382%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 King StFranklin24.451%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·555 King StFranklin12.655%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Summer StFranklin10.433%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Uncas PondFranklin15.614%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Lumber StreetHopkinton27.874%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 Lumber StreetHopkinton27.573%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·0 West Main StreetHopkinton10.162%no contiguous pad fits the screens
·Off Teresa RoadHopkinton40.381%no contiguous pad fits the screens

A few things stand out. The 87-acre Franklin parcel at $1.94/SF is a quarter the modeled earthwork cost of anything in Hopkinton. Only two parcels in this screen can fit the full 16.3-acre warehouse pad — 48 acres on High Street in Bellingham ($4.06/SF) and Pine Island Road in Hopkinton ($6.56/SF); everything else maxes out at the 7.4-acre size. The forty brown rows are not a finding that the land is worthless or unusable; they simply did not fit these two pad sizes under this screen. A smaller or differently shaped concept may produce another result.

How the screen works

The numbers are checkable

  1. Parcels — MassGIS L3 tax parcels joined to assessor records for the corridor towns; kept parcels ≥10 acres, classified vacant / forest / developable land, with under $50k of building value, within 1.5 km of the MassDOT I-495 centerline. Nine towns: Hopkinton, Holliston, Milford, Hopedale, Upton, Mendon, Medway, Bellingham, Franklin.
  2. Terrain — the state's 2021 bare-earth lidar DEM, resampled to 1 m. On Projects 01–03 my point-cloud models and the state's DEM—derived from the same flights—differed by 2.0–7.6 cm RMSE. That supports processing consistency, not independent field verification of absolute accuracy. Wetlands and streams: DEP layers with 100 ft / 200 ft screening buffers.
  3. The pad search — the same optimizer from Project 03, run inside every parcel: every possible pad position tested, largest pad kept where at least 70% of the window passes the terrain/mapped-buffer screen and 95% sits inside the parcel.
  4. What screening doesn't do — no canopy metrics, no wetness-discrepancy or rock screens, no access routes, no zoning. Those belong to the per-parcel study (that's Projects 01–03, run on whichever of these parcels matters to you). Costs use the same $20/yd³ basis with the same caveats as the other projects.

Screening-level, from public data. This does not review current title, ownership, zoning, frontage, legal access, utilities, field wetlands, soils, endangered species, cultural resources, or permitting. A shortlist this small makes a deeper study practical for the parcels that matter. Also run per project: terrain-wetness discrepancy, vernal-pool candidates, surface roughness. Scripts and pipeline files available on request. Read the full assumptions, sources, and limitations.